Economy predictions for 2026: inflation, rates, GDP
Macro calls with a number and a date on them — inflation, GDP, the Fed, capital spending — kept with the source and settled against the published series.
4 records from 3 people · 3 still running · 1 with no clock
Next to settle: Timothy B. Lee in 33 days (September 30, 2026).
Still running · 3
“So here’s my prediction: inflation-adjusted GDP in the third quarter of 2026 will not be more than 3.5% higher than the third quarter of 2025.”
“I don’t expect Big Tech’s capital spending to grow as much in 2026 as it did in 2025, but I do expect it to grow, ultimately exceeding $500 billion for the year.”
“I’ve paid him $250, and if the world doesn’t end by January 1, 2030, Colburn will repay me $500 inflation-adjusted.”
Every record here quotes its source exactly and carries the date it was said. Where the words name something measurable and a deadline, the test that settles it was locked before the outcome was known — what gets recorded and what never gets scored. Missing something? Put it on the record.
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