Will AI take your job? What people actually predicted
Dated public claims about AI and employment — which jobs go, which stay, and by when — kept with the exact words and the source, so the forecasts can be checked rather than remembered.
6 records from 5 people · 3 still running · 3 with no clock
Next to settle: Casey Newton in 124 days (December 31, 2026).
Still running · 3
“Look for at least three Democrats to win House seats promising to stop the construction of data centers in their districts, or creating new protections for people who lose their jobs to automation.”
“I expect the same will be true for Tesla — the first truly driverless Robotaxis will arrive in 2026, but technical and logistical challenges will limit how rapidly they expand.”
“Human domestic robots like Optimus and Figure will be all demo and very little product.”
3 more said on the subject — no test, never scored
“A job that I'm confident will not be that impacted is like nurses.”
“I'm confident that a lot of current customer support that happens over a phone or computer, those people will lose their jobs and that'll be better done by an AI.”
“I think we will have a UBI, and that's just a way of providing a basis, and people can actually live on that.”
Every record here quotes its source exactly and carries the date it was said. Where the words name something measurable and a deadline, the test that settles it was locked before the outcome was known — what gets recorded and what never gets scored. Missing something? Put it on the record.
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