The public record for predictions
Called it? Prove it.
Lock your prediction before the outcome — the exact words, the original source, and the test that settles it — so nobody can rewrite the story later. Make the call here, or register one made anywhere else.
Explore predictions · See what’s coming due · No account needed to read or verify anything.
On the record
“On September 15, 2026, Bitcoin will be above $50,000.”
MET if BTC-USD close is above 50,000 on the deadline date, before 2026-09-15 23:59 (UTC).
The prediction doesn’t have to start here.
A call made on X, a podcast, YouTube, Substack, CNBC — or here — becomes the same locked record: the exact words, the original source, the date, and the test that settles it. You said it first? Now you can prove it.
How it works
- Put it on the record. Make your own prediction, or paste a public source where someone else made one.
- Lock the test. Thonest works out what would settle it, by when, and from which source — and shows you that in plain English. You confirm before anything locks.
- See what happens. Predictions settle the moment their locked condition becomes conclusive. Nobody moves the goalposts afterwards, including us.
Why this is worth more than a screenshot
A screenshot proves nothing — anyone can fake one, and the post behind it can be edited or deleted. Every record here carries four things instead, each checkable by someone who thinks we’re lying.
How the proof works, and how to check it yourself →
⛓ Latest anchor — check it yourself
That link goes to a block explorer, not to us. Recompute any record’s proof in your browser →
What we deliberately don’t claim: none of this proves a statement is true. Provenance shows where it came from; anchoring shows it hasn’t changed. Anyone who tells you a blockchain makes something true is selling you something. The full argument, including what could still go wrong →
Coming due
“At the end of 2026-08-21 (UTC), Bitcoin will be above $1.”
“At the end of 2026-08-21 (UTC), Bitcoin will be above $10,000,000.”
“On September 15, 2026, Bitcoin will be above $50,000.”
“The Fed will maintain the interest rate in their September decision”
Recently settled
No prediction has reached its deadline yet. When one does, it settles here automatically.
Recently registered
“Thonest will publish a page titled 'Transparency Report' on thonest.com before September 30, 2026.”
“Bitcoin will trade above $1 at some point before September 30, 2026.”
“At the end of 2026-08-21 (UTC), Bitcoin will be above $10,000,000.”
“At the end of 2026-08-21 (UTC), Bitcoin will be above $1.”
“Byron Donalds will be elected Governor of Florida on November 3, 2026, becoming Florida’s next governor.”