The public record
The goalposts don’t move.
When someone makes a call with a date on it, we lock the test that settles it — before anyone knows the answer — and publish what happened. When there is no test to lock, the words still go on the record, dated and sourced.
No account needed to read or verify anything.
Settling soon
“Running this, I get a 4% chance that there will be more than 5 cases from people outside those on the Hondius cruise, with a 70% chance of at least one non-passenger case by August, and about a 17% chance of three or more.”
“So here’s my prediction: inflation-adjusted GDP in the third quarter of 2026 will not be more than 3.5% higher than the third quarter of 2025.”
On the record
“Look for at least three Democrats to win House seats promising to stop the construction of data centers in their districts, or creating new protections for people who lose their jobs to automation.”
Takes disappear. This doesn’t.
Posts get deleted. Podcasts scroll away. The calls that aged badly quietly stop being mentioned, and the ones that landed get repeated forever. Anyone can put a public call on the record here — the exact words, the original source, and the date it was said.
How it works
- Someone makes a call in public. A price target, a timeline, a prediction about how things go. Anyone can put it on the record here by pasting the link.
- We check it against the source. The wording has to appear in what the platform itself returns, attributed to the person it’s credited to. If a claim can be tested, we lock the test that settles it and the date it settles.
- It stays there. Testable claims settle automatically when the condition becomes conclusive. Everything else is preserved with its date and source, so it can’t be quietly walked back.
Why this is worth more than a screenshot
A screenshot proves nothing — anyone can fake one, and the post behind it can be edited or deleted. Every record here carries four things instead, each checkable by someone who thinks we’re lying.
How the proof works, and how to check it yourself →
⛓ Latest anchor — check it yourself
That link goes to a block explorer, not to us. Recompute any record’s proof in your browser →
What we deliberately don’t claim: none of this proves a statement is true. Provenance shows where it came from; anchoring shows it hasn’t changed. Anyone who tells you a blockchain makes something true is selling you something. The full argument, including what could still go wrong →
Looking for someone in particular?