People
Whose record.
Public prediction track records — the exact words, the locked test, and what happened. No scores, no rankings. Yours missing? Put a call on the record.
Peter Wildeford
“Running this, I get a 4% chance that there will be more than 5 cases from people outside those on the…”
Justin Kompf
“The Fed will maintain the interest rate in their September decision”
Timothy B. Lee
“Counterpoint: Sora will have more active users than Vibes in a year (65%)”
Charles Ryan
“Byron Donalds will be elected Governor of Florida on November 3, 2026, becoming Florida’s next governor.”
Gary Marcus
“If there exist AI systems that can perform 8 of the 10 tasks below by the end of 2027, as determined by our…”
Arthur Hayes
“My rough target price for Ether by the end of 2026 is $5,000, which is ~2.6x up from current levels.”
Benjamin Cowen
“In fact, I would argue that the more likely scenario is that 2026 is a red year for BTC while the ISM goes…”
Nuño Sempere
“Our forecasters’ aggregate estimate for the number of confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus deaths reported by the…”
Sam Ryan
“AOC will be president in 2028.”
PlanB
“Of course bitcoin can still drop below realized price ($53k), like it did in every bear market bottom. But…”
Bryan Caplan
“If the AI gets an A on at least 5 of out 6 of those exams using same grading scale as his students, then…”
Balaji Srinivasan
“I will take that bet. You buy 1 BTC. I will send $1M USD. This is ~40:1 odds as 1 BTC is worth ~$26k. The…”
Brian Armstrong
“by 2030 I think it's very likely we'll see a 300,000 and 400,000 dollar Bitcoin”
Ethan Wu
“the Bank of Japan, the central bank, will hike again to 1.25% sometime later this year”
Jon Brooks
“We're seeing foreclosures jump across the board, right, 39.69%”
Ki Young Ju
“#Bitcoin cycle theory is dead. My predictions were based on it—buy when whales accumulate, sell when retail…”
Peter Brandt
“I think precious metals are closer to a bottom price-wise; I think Bitcoin may be closer to a bottom time-wise”
Professor Jiang Xueqin
“the Al-Aqsa Mosque is destroyed.”
Rob Hadick
“I expect a good 2026. For token prices like Bitcoin and Ethereum, there's likely to be continued momentum…”
Tom Lee
“So I think in next year is really when Bitcoin can sort of begin to recover and the 200,000 level makes a…”