Collection
What named people have predicted about ageing, lifespan and health — including escape velocity timelines — with the date each one was said and the deadline it carries.
5 claims from 3 people. This is what has been recorded with a source, not everything said on the subject.
“Our forecasters’ aggregate estimate for the number of confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus deaths reported by the end of 2026 is 5.1K to 42K, with a 50th percentile point at 12.8K.”
“Our forecasters’ 90% confidence interval for the largest number of deaths (civilian and/or military) that Russia will inflict in a NATO country in a single incident before August 15, 2027 is 0 to 20, with the 50th percentile- falling between zero and one deaths.”
These carry no deadline or no test that could settle them. They stay on the record and stay unresolved — an untestable claim does not become a verdict by sitting here long enough.
“So by 2032, we'll be able to go through all the different possibilities. So you'll get back at least a year. As you go past 2032, you'll actually get back more than a year, but you won't die of aging at that point.”
“in 6 years we'll reach longevity escape velocity.”
“So by 2030, I think we're going to enable everyone who's in reasonable health today to intercept breakthroughs that will add an additional 20 or 30 healthy years of life.”
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