Longevity and life extension predictions
What named people have predicted about ageing, lifespan and health — including escape velocity timelines — with the date each one was said and the deadline it carries.
5 records from 3 people · 2 still running · 3 with no clock
Next to settle: Nuño Sempere in 124 days (December 31, 2026).
Still running · 2
“Our forecasters’ aggregate estimate for the number of confirmed Bundibugyo ebolavirus deaths reported by the end of 2026 is 5.1K to 42K, with a 50th percentile point at 12.8K.”
“Our forecasters’ 90% confidence interval for the largest number of deaths (civilian and/or military) that Russia will inflict in a NATO country in a single incident before August 15, 2027 is 0 to 20, with the 50th percentile- falling between zero and one deaths.”
3 more said on the subject — no test, never scored
“So by 2032, we'll be able to go through all the different possibilities. So you'll get back at least a year. As you go past 2032, you'll actually get back more than a year, but you won't die of aging at that point.”
“in 6 years we'll reach longevity escape velocity.”
“So by 2030, I think we're going to enable everyone who's in reasonable health today to intercept breakthroughs that will add an additional 20 or 30 healthy years of life.”
Every record here quotes its source exactly and carries the date it was said. Where the words name something measurable and a deadline, the test that settles it was locked before the outcome was known — what gets recorded and what never gets scored. Missing something? Put it on the record.
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