Coming due
The clock is public.
Every prediction here was locked before anyone knew the answer — the exact words, the original source, and the test that settles it. When the date arrives, the locked test decides. Nobody moves the goalposts, including us.
Open◎ Settles on evidenceSelf-registered
“The Fed will maintain the interest rate in their September decision”
Open◎ Settles on evidence
“In the midterms, AI will be an election issue for first time.”
Open◎ Settles on evidence
“Human domestic robots like Optimus and Figure will be all demo and very little product.”
Open◎ Settles on evidence
“No country will take a decisive lead in the GenAI “race””
Open⚙ Settles automaticallySelf-registered
“Bitcoin will reach 200k by the end of 2026.”
Open◎ Settles on evidence
“In fact, I would argue that the more likely scenario is that 2026 is a red year for BTC while the ISM goes up, exactly like how it played out more than a decade ago.”
Open◎ Settles on evidence
“If there exist AI systems that can perform 8 of the 10 tasks below by the end of 2027, as determined by our panel of judges, Gary will donate $2,000 to a charity of Miles’ choice; if AI can do fewer than 8, Miles will donate $20,000 to a charity of Gary’s choice.”
Open◎ Settles on evidence
“We won’t get to AGI in 2026 (or 7).”
Open⚙ Settles automatically
“Of course bitcoin can still drop below realized price ($53k), like it did in every bear market bottom. But Oct $126k top was not the cycle top IMO. Based on stock-to-flow valuation, BTC could still go to $500k ($250k - $1m range) .. this cycle (2026-2028! Patience”
Open◎ Settles on evidenceSelf-registered
“AOC will be president in 2028.”
Called something yourself?
Put it on the record before the outcome, and you get the same thing these people have: proof you said it first, with a test nobody can rewrite afterwards.
Put it on the record