Public record
Jakob Nielsen
UX expert, founder of Nielsen Norman Group; author of 'Jakob Nielsen on UX'
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Jakob NielsenUX expert, founder of Nielsen Norman Group; author of 'Jakob Nielsen on UX'
“In contrast, 2026 will see the release of the first breakout hit video game created entirely by a creator with no formal programming skills who built the entire game using natural language prompts.”
Jakob NielsenUX expert, founder of Nielsen Norman Group; author of 'Jakob Nielsen on UX'
“Models like Flux, Ideogram, Leonardo, Midjourney, and Reve will likely be acquired by multimodal AI labs such as Google, Meta, OpenAI, and xAI.”
Jakob NielsenUX expert, founder of Nielsen Norman Group; author of 'Jakob Nielsen on UX'
“By the end of 2026, AI will likely perform tasks that take a human 39 hours which is more than a full work week when you account for meetings and other non-task activities.”
Jakob NielsenUX expert, founder of Nielsen Norman Group; author of 'Jakob Nielsen on UX'
“For some reason, the big AI labs haven’t released music models yet, but this is likely to happen in 2026.”
Jakob NielsenUX expert, founder of Nielsen Norman Group; author of 'Jakob Nielsen on UX'
“By the end of 2027 , AI will complete tasks that take a human two months, doing so in perhaps an hour while consuming roughly $100 worth of compute.”
Jakob NielsenUX expert, founder of Nielsen Norman Group; author of 'Jakob Nielsen on UX'
“By the end of 2030 (when superintelligence is expected), AI will perform tasks that take humans approximately 100 years to complete, doing so in less than a day.”