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Professor of Economics, George Mason University; author of Bet On It · @bryan_caplan
This is what contributors have logged — not everything Bryan Caplan has said. Counts, not a score. Every record is one tap away, with the test that settled it. Third-party records here were added from public sources and verified against them; Bryan Caplan did not submit or approve them, and being profiled is not an endorsement of Thonest. “Days standing” is how long their longest open call has been public — how early they said it, not whether they were right.
Open — awaiting outcome
“I’ve paid him $250, and if the world doesn’t end by January 1, 2030, Colburn will repay me $500 inflation-adjusted.”
“If the AI gets an A on at least 5 of out 6 of those exams using same grading scale as his students, then Bryan owes Matthew $500. Otherwise, Matthew owes Bryan $500. For the purpose of this bet, an A- counts as an A.”