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Jakob Nielsen called it:
“Models like Flux, Ideogram, Leonardo, Midjourney, and Reve will likely be acquired by multimodal AI labs such as Google, Meta, OpenAI, and xAI.”
We find out by Dec 31, 2026. 100 days to go · on the record 26 days, before anyone knew the answer
MET if At least one of Flux (Black Forest Labs), Ideogram, Leonardo, Midjourney or Reve is publicly announced as acquired by a multimodal AI lab such as Google, Meta, OpenAI or xAI. Minority investments, licensing agreements or partnerships do not count at any point, before 2026-12-31 23:59 (UTC).
Settles by documented review of public evidence against these locked criteria; the reviewer is named and the reasoning published.
The original wording did not settle the timing on its own. The reading above was chosen at registration and locked with the claim — it was not decided after the fact.
Settled true if, on or before 2026-12-31, at least one of Flux (Black Forest Labs), Ideogram, Leonardo, Midjourney or Reve is publicly announced as acquired by a multimodal AI lab (such as Google, Meta, OpenAI or xAI). Minority investments, licensing deals and partnerships do not count.
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Prediction 12 of Nielsen's 18 predictions for 2026, in a section stating that video and images are the media forms most likely to lose their independence in 2026.
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