Predictions on the record.

“A job that I'm confident will not be that impacted is like nurses.”

“I'm confident that a lot of current customer support that happens over a phone or computer, those people will lose their jobs and that'll be better done by an AI.”

“that's probably coming in the late 2030s.”

“I think we will have a UBI, and that's just a way of providing a basis, and people can actually live on that.”

“The output of quantum computing is filled with errors, and they can't get rid of the errors. So I'm not confident of quantum computing, and I don't think it's going to work.”

“I know people that are working on it. They probably will have it, you know, by 2030. But mid-2030s seems conservative.”

“So by 2032, we'll be able to go through all the different possibilities. So you'll get back at least a year. As you go past 2032, you'll actually get back more than a year, but you won't die of aging at that point.”

“in 6 years we'll reach longevity escape velocity.”

“We're going to replace that in about 5 years. We're structuring all the knowledge and we'll be able to create simulated humans. And not just a few hundred, we can create like a million humans, test it for several years, and do that, but actually simulate that in a few days.”

“we expect to have glasses in the hands of developers later this year and in consumer hands next year”

“Will the AI think it has reached AGI by 2030? I would say we will just fall short of that timeline, so I think it'll take a bit longer.”

“The long-term target is around 10,000 transactions per second directly on Ethereum”

“we're going to have $100 trillion move on-chain in the next handful of years.”

“I think it can be done in thirty years, provided there's an exponential increase in tonnage to Mars with each successive transfer window every two years.”

“I think that we might have AI smarter than any single human at anything as soon as next year. And probably by 2030, AI is smarter than the sum of all humans.”

“So the phones that are able to use the spectrum that was acquired probably start shipping in around two years.”

“Your car is going to feel like it is sentient by the end of the year.”

“We're finalizing the design of AI5, which will be an immense jump from AI4. By some metrics, the improvement in AI5 will be forty times better than AI4.”

“I think the marginal cost of production once you hit a million units per year is probably around the twenty thousand dollar range.”

“we're not going to have our AI, you know, try to convince people that it should be like in an exclusive romantic relationship with them, for example.”

“the API business grew faster for us this year than even ChatGPT.”

“we are going to again fail in 2026 to meet demand.”

“We'll triple our compute again next year, hopefully again after that.”

“I would expect new models that are significant gains from 5.2 in the first quarter of next year.”

“I'm imagining in about four or five years it's going to be 80% autonomous vehicles.”

“we think that Tesla's solution from a cost point of view will be 50% lower than Waymo's and therefore it will be able to charge less.”

“we expect Tesla to be the biggest winner from a platform point of view. Waymo will be second.”

“So by 2030, I think we're going to enable everyone who's in reasonable health today to intercept breakthroughs that will add an additional 20 or 30 healthy years of life.”

“you're going to look up and see, you know, Bitcoin at $250,000.”

“To me, this is the area for #Bitcoin to hold. Little sweep of the recent low before the push upwards. If this doesn't hold, $77,100 and $76,400 come into play. If this does hold, next leg up for #Altcoins is in the making and we'll see $82,700.”

“The Tate Brothers are almost certainly NOT going to be granted bail”

“The Tate brothers will lose their bail battle”

“Next year we will experience the true AI bubble peak, and then the market will reward hyperscalers who defect by decreasing CAPEX budgets.”

“This will ultimately drive Bitcoin to one million and beyond.”

“I will say, with confidence, that this will not spiral into a new major pandemic.”

“by 2030 I think it's very likely we'll see a 300,000 and 400,000 dollar Bitcoin”

“I expect a good 2026. For token prices like Bitcoin and Ethereum, there's likely to be continued momentum macroeconomically with better monetary policy and increased adoption of tokenized assets. McKinsey said 3% of cross-border payments happen in stablecoins today, up from zero, and I expect a 10-fold increase from that.”

“Stablecoins are here to stay and will grow 10-fold. Prediction markets are here to stay and will grow 10-fold. For public market exposure, it's either base layers like Ethereum and Bitcoin or companies like Circle.”

“What I think is the most likely outcome for altcoins is honestly, I still think that alt-Bitcoin pairs might fall in again and form a low. But I think they're going to do what they did last cycle, where they just kind of consolidate down at these lows for a year and a half.”

“I don't think you'll have a massive rotation in the altcoins that leads to an alt season.”

“October was the four-year cycle top. It's just that the bleed is more like the 2019 style bear market.”

“Bitcoin is gonna drop into the summer of 2026.”

“So I think in next year is really when Bitcoin can sort of begin to recover and the 200,000 level makes a lot of sense to me.”

“I think Ethereum, which is around 3,000, can easily get to 9,000, 7,000 in early 2026. And then over time, as it starts to be competitive with payment rails, could get to the 20,000 level.”

“So, we're pretty bullish. I think Ethereum, which is around 3,000, can easily get to 9,000, 7,000 in early 2026.”

“I'm not a technical investor, I'm a long-term VC investor. But I continue to see a strong and constructive 2026.”

“So I think what's happening is you're probably going to see altcoins stop bleeding against Bitcoin in the coming months. I'm not saying it's over yet, but you might see them slow down that bleed for a little while as they sort of fall into these range lows and try to form a low.”

“So my sort of base case with dominance is that if Bitcoin does get a correction, it is certainly possible that dominance could sort of wane a little bit longer before spiking, but I do believe that Bitcoin dominance will go back up to 66%, like I think it will go back up near the highs before you get any type of alt season, if that makes sense, right?”

“So I think the 200-week moving average is going to come into play by the summer of 2026, I would say October 2026 at the latest.”

“We're seeing foreclosures jump across the board, right, 39.69%”

“the Al-Aqsa Mosque is destroyed.”

“the Bank of Japan, the central bank, will hike again to 1.25% sometime later this year”

“Trump will get a third term.”

“1. Some form of AI, probably neurosymbolic in nature, will come that is far more economical and data- and energy-efficient than LLMs, and it will make an absolute fortune.”

“#Bitcoin cycle theory is dead. My predictions were based on it—buy when whales accumulate, sell when retail joins. But that pattern no longer holds.”

“Bitcoin likely has another parabolic cycle ahead. Yes, capital efficiency is declining. In 2011, just $2.7B in net capital inflows drove a 55,436% price increase. This cycle, $697B produced a +689% return.”

“#Bitcoin bull cycle is over, expecting 6–12 months of bearish or sideways price action.”

“I think precious metals are closer to a bottom price-wise; I think Bitcoin may be closer to a bottom time-wise”

“Right now it’s neutral [sentiment]. Markets don’t bottom on neutral sentiment. Markets bottom on panic and volume.”

“I do not believe that somebody who goes all in on AI stocks right now will be very happy with that investment two, three years from now”