Feed

Predictions on the record.

58 records — exact wording, original source, anchored. Every one can be verified independently. Looking for a person? Browse forecasters.

Not scored
Next year we will experience the true AI bubble peak, and then the market will reward hyperscalers who defect by decreasing CAPEX budgets.
Arthur HayesSaid Aug 4, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 22, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
This will ultimately drive Bitcoin to one million and beyond.
Arthur HayesSaid Aug 4, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 22, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
I will say, with confidence, that this will not spiral into a new major pandemic.
Peter WildefordSaid May 11, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 22, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
by 2030 I think it's very likely we'll see a 300,000 and 400,000 dollar Bitcoin
Brian ArmstrongSaid Aug 21, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 21, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
I expect a good 2026. For token prices like Bitcoin and Ethereum, there's likely to be continued momentum macroeconomically with better monetary policy and increased adoption of tokenized assets. McKinsey said 3% of cross-border payments happen in stablecoins today, up from zero, and I expect a 10-fold increase from that.
Rob HadickSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
Stablecoins are here to stay and will grow 10-fold. Prediction markets are here to stay and will grow 10-fold. For public market exposure, it's either base layers like Ethereum and Bitcoin or companies like Circle.
Rob HadickSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
What I think is the most likely outcome for altcoins is honestly, I still think that alt-Bitcoin pairs might fall in again and form a low. But I think they're going to do what they did last cycle, where they just kind of consolidate down at these lows for a year and a half.
Benjamin CowenSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
I don't think you'll have a massive rotation in the altcoins that leads to an alt season.
Benjamin CowenSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
October was the four-year cycle top. It's just that the bleed is more like the 2019 style bear market.
Benjamin CowenSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
Bitcoin is gonna drop into the summer of 2026.
Benjamin CowenSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
So I think in next year is really when Bitcoin can sort of begin to recover and the 200,000 level makes a lot of sense to me.
Tom LeeSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
I think Ethereum, which is around 3,000, can easily get to 9,000, 7,000 in early 2026. And then over time, as it starts to be competitive with payment rails, could get to the 20,000 level.
Tom LeeSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
So, we're pretty bullish. I think Ethereum, which is around 3,000, can easily get to 9,000, 7,000 in early 2026.
Tom LeeSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
I'm not a technical investor, I'm a long-term VC investor. But I continue to see a strong and constructive 2026.
Rob HadickSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
So I think what's happening is you're probably going to see altcoins stop bleeding against Bitcoin in the coming months. I'm not saying it's over yet, but you might see them slow down that bleed for a little while as they sort of fall into these range lows and try to form a low.
Benjamin CowenSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
So my sort of base case with dominance is that if Bitcoin does get a correction, it is certainly possible that dominance could sort of wane a little bit longer before spiking, but I do believe that Bitcoin dominance will go back up to 66%, like I think it will go back up near the highs before you get any type of alt season, if that makes sense, right?
Benjamin CowenSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
So I think the 200-week moving average is going to come into play by the summer of 2026, I would say October 2026 at the latest.
Benjamin CowenSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
We're seeing foreclosures jump across the board, right, 39.69%
Jon BrooksSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
the Al-Aqsa Mosque is destroyed.
Professor Jiang XueqinSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
the Bank of Japan, the central bank, will hike again to 1.25% sometime later this year
Ethan WuSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
Trump will get a third term.
Professor Jiang XueqinSaid Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
1. Some form of AI, probably neurosymbolic in nature, will come that is far more economical and data- and energy-efficient than LLMs, and it will make an absolute fortune.
Gary MarcusSaid Jun 4, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
#Bitcoin cycle theory is dead. My predictions were based on it—buy when whales accumulate, sell when retail joins. But that pattern no longer holds.
Ki Young JuSaid Jul 24, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
Bitcoin likely has another parabolic cycle ahead. Yes, capital efficiency is declining. In 2011, just $2.7B in net capital inflows drove a 55,436% price increase. This cycle, $697B produced a +689% return.
Ki Young JuSaid Jul 1, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
#Bitcoin bull cycle is over, expecting 6–12 months of bearish or sideways price action.
Ki Young JuSaid Mar 17, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
I think precious metals are closer to a bottom price-wise; I think Bitcoin may be closer to a bottom time-wise
Peter BrandtSaid Jul 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
Right now it’s neutral [sentiment]. Markets don’t bottom on neutral sentiment. Markets bottom on panic and volume.
Peter BrandtSaid Jul 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
I do not believe that somebody who goes all in on AI stocks right now will be very happy with that investment two, three years from now
Peter BrandtSaid Jul 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
Whether it’s at these kinds of current levels, or we crash through and really blow people out and move into the 50s, possibly the high 40s...
Peter BrandtSaid Jul 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
#Bitcoin bull cycle is over — here's why.
Ki Young JuSaid Apr 5, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026No deadline — never resolves
Not scored
I'll go out on a limb and say we bottom on October 4th. So we'll see,
Peter BrandtSaid Jul 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026No deadline — never resolves

Also on the record: preserved statements (no test, never scored) · historical archive (registered after the outcome, never counted in track records).