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114 records — exact wording, original source, anchored. Every one can be verified independently. Looking for a person? Browse forecasters.
“I will take that bet. You buy 1 BTC. I will send $1M USD. This is ~40:1 odds as 1 BTC is worth ~$26k. The term is 90 days.”
“no that is not true. s2f model is a simple linear regression. parameters, stats and bounds are in the article, everyone can replicate and verify. I will call s2f invalidated if we have not reached 100K by Dec this year, we can not stay at current levels for the rest of the year.”
Also on the record: the historical archive — claims registered after their outcome was already known, kept separate and never counted in anyone’s track record.