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Predictions on the record.

58 records — exact wording, original source, anchored. Every one can be verified independently. Looking for a person? Browse forecasters.

NewestComing dueSettled
Condition not metHistorical — registered after the outcome
“I will take that bet. You buy 1 BTC. I will send $1M USD. This is ~40:1 odds as 1 BTC is worth ~$26k. The term is 90 days.”
Balaji SrinivasanSaid Mar 17, 2023Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026Deadline 2023-06-15
Condition not metHistorical — registered after the outcome
“no that is not true. s2f model is a simple linear regression. parameters, stats and bounds are in the article, everyone can replicate and verify. I will call s2f invalidated if we have not reached 100K by Dec this year, we can not stay at current levels for the rest of the year.”
PlanBSaid Jun 23, 2021Added to Thonest Aug 19, 2026Deadline 2021-12-31

Also on the record: preserved statements (no test, never scored) · historical archive (registered after the outcome, never counted in track records).