Not scored🔒 Preserved — not scoredPrediction

This will never resolve. The wording gives no measurable threshold and no date, so there is nothing to test without inventing criteria the speaker never set. It stays on the record as something said on a date, and is never counted for or against anyone.

Ethan Wu: “the Bank of Japan, the central bank, will hike again to 1.25% sometime later this year

the Bank of Japan, the central bank, will hike again to 1.25% sometime later this year
No test — this claim will not resolve

The wording gives no measurable threshold and no date, so there is nothing to test without inventing criteria the speaker never set.

No objective test could be drawn from these words, so nothing can settle it. The statement is preserved and dated, and never counted for or against anyone. Thonest will not invent a threshold or a date that was never said — a claim scored against criteria written afterwards would prove nothing.

Submitter-attested — no machine-readable source

Ethan WuYouTube (The Economist)Said Aug 20, 2026Captured Aug 20, 2026

Watch what they said — from 4:35

Source verification
  • ✓ Video and channel verified by YouTube
  • ✓ Statement located at 4:45
  • Transcribed and timestamped by the submitter, who confirms they listened to the passage
What was said around it · sha256 0x756bb664…b1acc9

and interest rates are rising. They're now at about 1%. The expectation is that the Bank of Japan, the central bank, will hike again to 1.25% sometime later this year. So is that going to destabilize this so-called carry trade? the Bank of Japan, the central bank, will hike again to 1.25% sometime later this year

Transcribed from the audio and confirmed by the submitter, who listened to this passage. YouTube confirms the video and the channel, not the words — those are checkable in one click by anyone. Watch the full moment →

From the video "Will Japan bring down the world economy? | The Economist".

History — append-only

2026-08-20
Recorded · Recorded and locked from the original source

Proof

Evidence hash0x4d99c823…39b9ab
Source snapshot
Record fingerprint0x4d99c8237dc51f784c0b32189afb4e561c011a5098999139c5482da10939b9ab
Proof path
2 hashes from this record to the anchored root
  1. 0xf53c115b7db30a4323fe4ad31722a336bae1658dffada31057dc6f383db3cec6
  2. 0xddd70f7c8e22baf2c9b752b28a95ec92dc7f8d2e41dbc19d22cf647a25616c18
Merkle root0x060359f0c292b104b664a70a216b9b71b3a96d4a17a57d184e3038495c2d8b2a
batch #26 manifest · 4 entries
Registry0x3d74d9e2f0f4c741fc49b34cc119b6db0cef47c0 · entry #25
the contract refuses any batch that doesn’t follow the previous one, and has no function to edit or delete one — including for us
Anchored onchainbase-mainnet · Aug 20, 2026
0xe57d7259…06068e on block explorer
Third-party archiveNone
No independent copy could be captured for this source.
Quote checkTranscribed and timestamped by the submitter, who confirms they listened to the passage. YouTube verifies the video and the channel, not the words — anyone can check those by playing the moment.
Platform capture0xf57476b27e85158fa02666e8bb310bbe7acca9d51625e2ad7f9a027a4cef2c4d
view the raw response · the platform's own API response, kept verbatim and covered by the evidence hash

✓ The original record is immutable. Everything that happened afterward is in the history above — nothing is ever silently edited.

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