Settled: condition not met. The locked test was run against the sources frozen at registration, and the result is permanent.
Balaji Srinivasan: “I will take that bet. You buy 1 BTC. I will send $1M USD. This is ~40:1 odds as 1 BTC is worth ~$26k. The term is 90 days.”
“I will take that bet. You buy 1 BTC. I will send $1M USD. This is ~40:1 odds as 1 BTC is worth ~$26k. The term is 90 days.”
Historical record. This was registered after its outcome was already known, so it does not carry Thonest’s pre-outcome locking guarantee. The statement date rests on the platform’s own timestamp of the original source, and the result is counted separately from pre-outcome track records — after-the-fact submissions reflect what someone chose to submit.
MET if BTC-USD price is at or above 1,000,000 at any point, before 2023-06-15 23:59 (UTC).
The original wording did not settle the timing on its own. The reading above was chosen at registration and locked with the claim — it was not decided after the fact.
Quote verified against the source
Balaji publicly accepted a wager on X on March 17, 2023, staking $1M USD against 1 BTC on a 90-day term amid his hyperinflation thesis.
Resolution criteria
Resolves TRUE if the price of Bitcoin (Coinbase BTC-USD) trades at or above $1,000,000 at any point between March 17, 2023 and June 15, 2023 (90 days from the statement), inclusive. Otherwise FALSE.
History — append-only
MET if BTC-USD price is at or above 1,000,000 at any point, before 2023-06-15 23:59 (UTC). Evaluated over 91 periods from 273 observations across market_price:BTC-USD:price.
Proof
3 hashes from this record to the anchored root
- 0x29d154842042927776bc1d1cb1271eca99e053c17d53a5b4a98e6f87f9524f83
- 0x3ce66b8483cfb6b731787fccd6c1bfa6451de634d82836c4f18d70a556c528a1
- 0x191962e77776736dc38607cea5a1529c9a3b061c44efb46357939f74324d9d0e
batch #5 manifest · 5 entries
the contract refuses any batch that doesn’t follow the previous one, and has no function to edit or delete one — including for us
0x2e96d6ea…f181fd on block explorer
This platform blocks archiving services, so no independent copy exists.
reported by the platform itself, not by the submitter
view the raw response · the platform's own API response, kept verbatim and covered by the evidence hash
✓ The original record is immutable. Everything that happened afterward is in the history above — nothing is ever silently edited.
The check runs in your browser and reads the anchored root straight from a public Base node — not from Thonest. How this works.
Disputes
No disputes have been filed. If something here is wrong — a misquote, a wrong date, a misattributed source — say so and it gets answered on the record. How disputes work.
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