2028 predictions: 3 that settle on December 31, 2028
3 people put these on the record before the outcome was known. Each one carries the exact words, the original source, and a test that was locked in advance and cannot be changed now.
855 days to go. Nothing here has been decided yet.
PlanBCreator of the Bitcoin Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model
“Of course bitcoin can still drop below realized price ($53k), like it did in every bear market bottom. But Oct $126k top was not the cycle top IMO. Based on stock-to-flow valuation, BTC could still go to $500k ($250k - $1m range) .. this cycle (2026-2028! Patience”
Nuño SempereSuperforecaster; Head of Foresight, Sentinel
“Our forecasters think there’s a 5.2% (2% to 10%) chance that the US Senate will pause frontier AI development in the US before 2029, absent a treaty with China.”
Nate SilverFounder, Silver Bulletin
“Democrats win the presidency in 2028.”
Who is on this page: Nate Silver · Nuño Sempere · PlanB.
Every test here was written down and anchored before anyone knew the answer, so none of it can be quietly adjusted afterwards — check any of it yourself. Know a call that belongs here? Put it on the record.