What they said, on the record.

101 records, each independently verifiable.

Elon Musk
I think it can be done in thirty years, provided there's an exponential increase in tonnage to Mars with each successive transfer window every two years.
On the record
Said Sep 9, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Elon Musk
I think that we might have AI smarter than any single human at anything as soon as next year. And probably by 2030, AI is smarter than the sum of all humans.
On the record
Said Sep 9, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Elon Musk
So the phones that are able to use the spectrum that was acquired probably start shipping in around two years.
On the record
Said Sep 9, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Elon Musk
Your car is going to feel like it is sentient by the end of the year.
On the record
Said Sep 9, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Elon Musk
We're finalizing the design of AI5, which will be an immense jump from AI4. By some metrics, the improvement in AI5 will be forty times better than AI4.
On the record
Said Sep 9, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Elon Musk
I think the marginal cost of production once you hit a million units per year is probably around the twenty thousand dollar range.
On the record
Said Sep 9, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Sam Altman
we're not going to have our AI, you know, try to convince people that it should be like in an exclusive romantic relationship with them, for example.
On the record
Said Dec 18, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Sam Altman
the API business grew faster for us this year than even ChatGPT.
On the record
Said Dec 18, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Sam Altman
we are going to again fail in 2026 to meet demand.
On the record
Said Dec 18, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Sam Altman
We'll triple our compute again next year, hopefully again after that.
On the record
Said Dec 18, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Sam Altman
I would expect new models that are significant gains from 5.2 in the first quarter of next year.
On the record
Said Dec 18, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Peter H. Diamandis
I'm imagining in about four or five years it's going to be 80% autonomous vehicles.
On the record
Said Jan 29, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Cathie Wood
we think that Tesla's solution from a cost point of view will be 50% lower than Waymo's and therefore it will be able to charge less.
On the record
Said Jan 29, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Cathie Wood
we expect Tesla to be the biggest winner from a platform point of view. Waymo will be second.
On the record
Said Jan 29, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026
Peter Diamandis
So by 2030, I think we're going to enable everyone who's in reasonable health today to intercept breakthroughs that will add an additional 20 or 30 healthy years of life.
On the record
Caught by @justin
Said Aug 27, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 27, 2026
Arthur HayesCo-founder, BitMEX; CIO, Maelstrom
you're going to look up and see, you know, Bitcoin at $250,000.
On the record
Said Aug 25, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 26, 2026
Michaël van de PoppeCrypto trader and analyst, founder of MN Trading
To me, this is the area for #Bitcoin to hold. Little sweep of the recent low before the push upwards. If this doesn't hold, $77,100 and $76,400 come into play. If this does hold, next leg up for #Altcoins is in the making and we'll see $82,700.
On the record
Said Aug 25, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 25, 2026
Andrew Esquire
The Tate Brothers are almost certainly NOT going to be granted bail
On the record
Caught by @sam
Said Aug 22, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 22, 2026
Andrew Esquire
The Tate brothers will lose their bail battle
On the record
Caught by @sam
Said Aug 22, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 22, 2026
Arthur HayesCo-founder, BitMEX; CIO, Maelstrom
Next year we will experience the true AI bubble peak, and then the market will reward hyperscalers who defect by decreasing CAPEX budgets.
On the record
Said Aug 4, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 22, 2026
Arthur HayesCo-founder, BitMEX; CIO, Maelstrom
This will ultimately drive Bitcoin to one million and beyond.
On the record
Said Aug 4, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 22, 2026
Peter WildefordForecaster and author, The Power Law
I will say, with confidence, that this will not spiral into a new major pandemic.
On the record
Said May 11, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 22, 2026
Brian Armstrong
by 2030 I think it's very likely we'll see a 300,000 and 400,000 dollar Bitcoin
On the record
Said Aug 21, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 21, 2026
Rob Hadick
I expect a good 2026. For token prices like Bitcoin and Ethereum, there's likely to be continued momentum macroeconomically with better monetary policy and increased adoption of tokenized assets. McKinsey said 3% of cross-border payments happen in stablecoins today, up from zero, and I expect a 10-fold increase from that.
On the record
Said Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026
Rob Hadick
Stablecoins are here to stay and will grow 10-fold. Prediction markets are here to stay and will grow 10-fold. For public market exposure, it's either base layers like Ethereum and Bitcoin or companies like Circle.
On the record
Said Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026
Benjamin CowenFounder, Into The Cryptoverse
What I think is the most likely outcome for altcoins is honestly, I still think that alt-Bitcoin pairs might fall in again and form a low. But I think they're going to do what they did last cycle, where they just kind of consolidate down at these lows for a year and a half.
On the record
Said Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026
Benjamin CowenFounder, Into The Cryptoverse
I don't think you'll have a massive rotation in the altcoins that leads to an alt season.
On the record
Said Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026
Benjamin CowenFounder, Into The Cryptoverse
October was the four-year cycle top. It's just that the bleed is more like the 2019 style bear market.
On the record
Said Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026
Benjamin CowenFounder, Into The Cryptoverse
Bitcoin is gonna drop into the summer of 2026.
On the record
Said Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026
Tom Lee
So I think in next year is really when Bitcoin can sort of begin to recover and the 200,000 level makes a lot of sense to me.
On the record
Said Aug 20, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 20, 2026

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