The public record

Everyone’s an expert until you check.

Every claim they made — dated, sourced, unedited. Look someone up before you take their word for it.

Browse everyone on the record · Add something they said · No account needed to read or verify anything.

On the record

Open
“Btw just because I dumped my entire $HYPE bag, doesn't mean I still don't have faith $HYPE will best $SOL by year end. Sometimes you gotta go down to go up.”
🔒 The test, locked at registration

MET if the percentage change in HYPE-USD price is at or above the percentage change in SOL-USD price on the deadline date, before 2026-12-31 23:59 (UTC).

Arthur HayesSaid Jun 5, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 25, 2026128 days left

Coming due

Open
“Running this, I get a 4% chance that there will be more than 5 cases from people outside those on the Hondius cruise, with a 70% chance of at least one non-passenger case by August, and about a 17% chance of three or more.”
Peter WildefordSaid May 11, 2026Added to Thonest Aug 22, 20266 days left
Open
“So here’s my prediction: inflation-adjusted GDP in the third quarter of 2026 will not be more than 3.5% higher than the third quarter of 2025.”
Timothy B. LeeSaid Dec 31, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 22, 202636 days left

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Takes disappear. This doesn’t.

Posts get deleted. Podcasts scroll away. The calls that aged badly quietly stop being mentioned, and the ones that landed get repeated forever. Anything said in public can go on the record here — a prediction, a position, a flat statement of fact — with the exact words, the original source and the date it was said.

Said on XPaste the post. We fetch it and confirm the account.
Said on a podcast or videoPaste the link. We transcribe it and confirm the words at the moment they were said.
Written in an articlePaste the URL. Only their own words count — not a reporter’s summary of them.

How it works

  1. Someone says something in public. A price target, a timeline, a claim about how the world works. Anyone can put it on the record here by pasting the link.
  2. We check it against the source. The wording has to appear in what the platform itself returns, attributed to the person it’s credited to. If a claim can be tested, we lock the test that settles it and the date it settles.
  3. It stays there. Testable claims settle automatically when the condition becomes conclusive. Everything else is preserved with its date and source, so it can’t be quietly walked back.

What gets checked, and how to verify it yourself →

Why this is worth more than a screenshot

A screenshot proves nothing — anyone can fake one, and the post behind it can be edited or deleted. Every record here carries four things instead, each checkable by someone who thinks we’re lying.

1 · The words are checked against the sourceWe never take a submitter’s word for a quote. For posts and articles the platform is asked directly and the wording must appear in its own response. For video and podcasts the source is transcribed and the words confirmed at the moment they were said, by the speaker who said them.
2 · An independent copyWe ask the Internet Archive to save the page at capture time, on a server we don’t control. Every record reports the same four verification layers and states plainly when a layer is unavailable.
3 · Two dates, never mixed upWhen they said it, and when Thonest registered it. Only a record registered before the outcome was known can claim it was locked in advance — anything added afterwards says so plainly.
4 · Tamper-evident by designThe anchored cryptographic proof cannot be rewritten, and published records are append-only by default — corrections are appended in the open, never silently edited in. Anyone can check whether a record changed after it was published.

How the proof works, and how to check it yourself →

⛓ Latest anchor — check it yourself
Batch#75
Merkle root0xf5bcabca97dce3fb…
Records committed4
Transaction0x6e8a8655bf18…

That link goes to a block explorer, not to us. Recompute any record’s proof in your browser →

What we deliberately don’t claim: none of this proves a statement is true. Provenance shows where it came from; anchoring shows it hasn’t changed. Anyone who tells you a blockchain makes something true is selling you something. The full argument, including what could still go wrong →

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