Thonest Selftest called it:

Bitcoin will trade above $1 at some point before September 30, 2026.

We find out by Sep 30, 2026. 41 days to go · on the record 0 days, before anyone knew the answer

Open Settles automaticallyPredictionDeadline Sep 30, 2026
0 days on the record41 to go

Open until 2026-09-30 — 41 days away. Thonest reads the locked data source and settles this itself.

Thonest Selftest: “Bitcoin will trade above $1 at some point before September 30, 2026.

🔒 The test — locked 2026-08-21, before the outcome was known

MET if BTC-USD price is above 1 at any point, before 2026-09-30 23:59 (UTC).

Settled byautomatic
Window2026-08-21 2026-09-30
TimezoneUTC
Data vintagelatest_revision
Min source tier3
Contract hash0xe5333585…c40e50

Written here by its author

Self-recorded by @thonest_selftest · Identity not independently verified

Thonest SelftestThonest (self-recorded)Registered Aug 21, 2026Anchored Aug 21, 2026

CONTROLLED PRODUCTION TEST by Thonest itself — created to verify automatic settlement end to end. Not a market view.

Resolution criteria

Resolves true if the Coinbase BTC-USD price trades above $1.00 at any point between 2026-08-21 and 2026-09-30 inclusive; resolves false only if BTC-USD never exceeds $1.00 during that window.

History — append-only

2026-08-21
Recorded · Self-recorded by @thonest_selftest · identity not independently verified

Proof

Evidence hash0x38a4233a…40cc9a
Source snapshot
Record fingerprint0x38a4233a7b35952b6f006acb7d26e6532529b712827e5dd1c995a596dc40cc9a
Proof path
2 hashes from this record to the anchored root
  1. 0x98662d9426358c9a99e90ef1cfe66a339c99fa0aad858c1cb60e39adf0019149
  2. 0x218270203ac6b5ec1deea7c6e72779c74bd8ef56572e082e6e979bd533938062
Merkle root0x02ddab316d5fa9685d955f4bbcfafbad4be13ba2caaba376333866ce49c480f8
batch #47 manifest · 4 entries
Registry0x3d74d9e2f0f4c741fc49b34cc119b6db0cef47c0 · entry #46
the contract refuses any batch that doesn’t follow the previous one, and has no function to edit or delete one — including for us
Anchored onchainbase-mainnet · Aug 21, 2026
0xa2a80e4d…503dc8 on block explorer
Original sourceNone — written here, not quoted from elsewhere
There is nothing external to check this against. What the anchor proves is the time it was written, which is the point of recording a claim before its outcome is known.
Third-party archiveNot applicable
An archive copies a page that already existed somewhere else.
Quote checkRecorded directly on Thonest by this account. The account's identity has not been independently verified, so this establishes that this account made the statement at this time — nothing about who is behind it.
Written by@thonest_selftest (Thonest Selftest)
the Thonest account that wrote this — not a claim about who controls it unless the identity level above says so
Text as submitted0xfaf041b51bdf9150c974f6dd5f759c0d820936e0c1c7205f7db8f0123f3493ac
view the canonical capture · exactly what the author typed, kept verbatim and covered by the evidence hash

✓ The anchored proof cannot be rewritten, and the published record is append-only by default. Everything that happened afterward is in the history above — corrections are appended, never silently edited in.

Verify this record yourself

The check runs in your browser and reads the anchored root straight from a public Base node — not from Thonest. How this works.

Disputes

No disputes have been filed. If something here is wrong — a misquote, a wrong date, a misattributed source — say so and it gets answered on the record. How disputes work.