Charles Ryan called it:

Byron Donalds will be elected Governor of Florida on November 3, 2026, becoming Florida’s next governor.

We find out by Nov 3, 2026. 75 days to go · on the record 0 days, before anyone knew the answer

Open Settles on evidencePredictionDeadline Nov 3, 2026
0 days on the record75 to go

Open until 2026-11-03 — 75 days away. Settlement rests on public evidence, gathered and checked after the deadline.

Charles Ryan: “Byron Donalds will be elected Governor of Florida on November 3, 2026, becoming Florida’s next governor.

🔒 The test — locked 2026-08-20, before the outcome was known

MET if Byron Donalds is declared the winner of the Florida gubernatorial general election held November 3, 2026, per official certified results from the Florida Elections Canvassing Commission / Florida Department of State. Winning a primary, leading in early or unofficial counts that are later reversed, or any other candidate being certified as winner does not count. at any point, before 2026-11-03 23:59 (America/New_York).

Settled byevidence
Window2026-08-20 2026-11-03
TimezoneAmerica/New_York
Data vintagelatest_revision
Min source tier1
Contract hash0x38b93c42…2fb2dd

The original wording did not settle the timing on its own. The reading above was chosen at registration and locked with the claim — it was not decided after the fact.

◎ The test — locked before the outcome was known

Resolves TRUE if Byron Donalds is the winner of the Florida gubernatorial general election held on November 3, 2026, as shown by the official certified results from the Florida Department of State / Florida Elections Canvassing Commission. Any other candidate winning, or Donalds not appearing on the ballot as a gubernatorial candidate in that election, resolves FALSE.

Thonest does not settle this one automatically — there is no supported data source for it. The test is fixed all the same, so anyone can check it and nobody can change what counts.

Written here by its author

Self-recorded by @charles · Identity not independently verified

Charles RyanThonest (self-recorded)Said Aug 20, 2026Captured Aug 20, 2026

Resolution criteria

Resolves TRUE if Byron Donalds is the winner of the Florida gubernatorial general election held on November 3, 2026, as shown by the official certified results from the Florida Department of State / Florida Elections Canvassing Commission. Any other candidate winning, or Donalds not appearing on the ballot as a gubernatorial candidate in that election, resolves FALSE.

History — append-only

2026-08-20
Recorded · Self-recorded by @charles · identity not independently verified

Proof

Evidence hash0x1be618c0…505a13
Source snapshot
Record fingerprint0x1be618c03ce011e620cb495e5a8f4f8b52d2c4bca3f0364f08292018fd505a13
Proof path
3 hashes from this record to the anchored root
  1. 0x00a3763ce71198219a74ce973bec616061bae0d3c15371464b71ee4e54f3b60a
  2. 0x7cbdc8953759e95da3cf9365f664db1f8e5321d0bb199bbce0f53167347af15a
  3. 0x09b4177c0b40799b91c8e695f434969771f8db4d5d3212b8f4cda2b5bb1969e3
Merkle root0x414268a4ef34477d77d03ccc196492f7fdcb7deae6056f30b8ed7c31dacfcfe7
batch #43 manifest · 6 entries
Registry0x3d74d9e2f0f4c741fc49b34cc119b6db0cef47c0 · entry #42
the contract refuses any batch that doesn’t follow the previous one, and has no function to edit or delete one — including for us
Anchored onchainbase-mainnet · Aug 20, 2026
0x3d7963e3…019544 on block explorer
Original sourceNone — written here, not quoted from elsewhere
There is nothing external to check this against. What the anchor proves is the time it was written, which is the point of recording a claim before its outcome is known.
Third-party archiveNot applicable
An archive copies a page that already existed somewhere else.
Quote checkRecorded directly on Thonest by this account. The account's identity has not been independently verified, so this establishes that this account made the statement at this time — nothing about who is behind it.
Written by@charles (Charles Ryan)
the Thonest account that wrote this — not a claim about who controls it unless the identity level above says so
Text as submitted0x8968f0f4e6af90ad5681e678248bada97ca868e13a2f65c02101bf047faca7e0
view the raw response · exactly what the author typed, kept verbatim and covered by the evidence hash

✓ The original record is immutable. Everything that happened afterward is in the history above — nothing is ever silently edited.

Verify this record yourself

The check runs in your browser and reads the anchored root straight from a public Base node — not from Thonest. How this works.

Disputes

No disputes have been filed. If something here is wrong — a misquote, a wrong date, a misattributed source — say so and it gets answered on the record. How disputes work.