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Rob Toews called it:
“OpenAI, too, will eventually become a publicly traded company. But not in 2026.”
We find out by Dec 31, 2026. 100 days to go · on the record 26 days, before anyone knew the answer
MET if not (OpenAI (or its public-facing corporate successor entity) has shares begin trading on a public stock exchange via IPO or direct listing. Filings, private rounds, or secondary sales do not count) in every period, before 2026-12-31 23:59 (UTC).
Settles by documented review of public evidence against these locked criteria; the reviewer is named and the reasoning published.
Resolves TRUE if OpenAI shares do NOT begin trading on any public stock exchange at any point between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Resolves FALSE if OpenAI completes an IPO or direct listing with trading commencing in that window, per SEC filings or exchange records.
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Read the original on forbes.com ↗
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Prediction No. 1 in Rob Toews' Forbes column '10 AI Predictions For 2026', contrasting OpenAI with Anthropic's expected 2026 IPO.
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