Rob Toews called it:

In 2026, Anthropic will debut on public markets. It will be one of the biggest and most highly anticipated IPOs of all-time.

We find out by Dec 31, 2026. 126 days to go

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Rob Toews: “In 2026, Anthropic will debut on public markets. It will be one of the biggest and most highly anticipated IPOs of all-time.

🔒 The test · locked Aug 28, 2026

MET if Anthropic's common shares begin trading on a public stock exchange via IPO or direct listing (first day of trading). Confidential or public S-1 filings, private tender offers, or secondary-market share sales do not count at any point, before 2026-12-31 23:59 (UTC).

Settles by documented review of public evidence against these locked criteria; the reviewer is named and the reasoning published.

Test details
Settled byevidence
Window2026-01-01 2026-12-31
TimezoneUTC
Data vintagelatest_revision
Min source tier1
Contract hash0x969a5a38…df6fed
Full resolution criteria

Resolves TRUE if Anthropic's shares begin trading on a public stock exchange (IPO or direct listing) at any point between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, per SEC filings or exchange listing records. A confidential or public S-1 filing without trading commencing does not count.

Submitter-attested — no machine-readable source

Rob ToewsForbesSaid Dec 22, 2025Added to Thonest Aug 28, 2026Anchored Aug 28, 2026

Added by Thonest from a public source. The person quoted did not submit, approve, or endorse this record; the wording is verified against the source itself.

Read the original on forbes.com

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Prediction No. 1 in Rob Toews' annual Forbes column '10 AI Predictions For 2026', published Dec 22, 2025.

History — append-only

2026-08-28
Recorded · Recorded and locked from the original source

Proof

Evidence hash0x62c6a3b5…aa55a8
Source snapshot
Record fingerprint0x62c6a3b5412bf0bd0f0c8838fea3380d8a166bf3c7a517f65520f87aeeaa55a8
Proof path
4 hashes from this record to the anchored root
  1. 0x835b62b8f159591382738de215453f563b55f2afaca9c9c127e705dfb380a7ed
  2. 0xa0f2829e1aa696c1692e399db921ea251a24529d28da7965397f05508345892b
  3. 0x22faf42c69d797f1419a052fc2e05c6df26eb8e5f2178027ec3eee37a1639040
  4. 0xdb92b26db67a0ec1b41aa786452235f20366840e9fccd1392348538ab0a332a6
Merkle root0x6d72bec9980deceafe4603c764311d29e367c03ff2b0713d64b440285e267679
batch #103 manifest · 10 entries
Registry0x3d74d9e2f0f4c741fc49b34cc119b6db0cef47c0 · entry #110
the contract refuses any batch that doesn’t follow the previous one, and has no function to edit or delete one — including for us
Anchored onchainbase-mainnet · Aug 28, 2026
0xf6d50a6e…8a4bee on block explorer
Quote checkThe source could not be read automatically (video, audio, or a site that blocks retrieval), so the wording rests on the submitter and the original link.

✓ The anchored proof cannot be rewritten, and the published record is append-only by default. Everything that happened afterward is in the history above — corrections are appended, never silently edited in.

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Related

AnthropicIPO