Steve Newman: “More precisely: there will be no unusual physical or economic catastrophe (dramatically larger than past incidents of a similar nature) in which AI plays a crucial enabling role.”

MET if not (A physical or economic catastrophe occurring in calendar 2026 that is dramatically larger than past incidents of a similar nature (e.g. bio, chemical or cyber attack) and in which AI played a crucial enabling role. Events merely blamed on AI without evidence of a crucial enabling role, and layoffs or ordinary business decisions attributed to AI, do not count) in every period, before 2026-12-31 23:59 (UTC).

Settles by documented review of public evidence against these locked criteria; the reviewer is named and the reasoning published.

The original wording did not settle the timing on its own. The reading above was chosen at registration and locked with the claim — it was not decided after the fact.