Alex Thorn called it:
“BTC will hit $250k by year-end 2027. 2026 is too chaotic to predict, though Bitcoin making new all-time highs in 2026 is still possible. Options markets are currently pricing about equal odds of $70k or $130k for month-end June 2026, and equal odds of $50k or $250k by year-end…”
We find out by Dec 31, 2027. 465 days to go · on the record 28 days, before anyone knew the answer
MET if BTC-USD price is at or above 250,000 at any point, before 2027-12-31 23:59 (UTC).
Settles automatically from the locked data source — no judgment call, no human vote.
Resolves TRUE if the Coinbase BTC-USD spot price trades at or above $250,000 at any point between the statement date (2025-12-21) and 2027-12-31 23:59:59 UTC. Any single print at or above $250,000 within that window settles it TRUE; otherwise FALSE.
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Post on X in which Thorn gave a Bitcoin price target for year-end 2027 while declining to forecast 2026, citing options-market pricing.
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