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Arthur Hayes called it:
“My rough target price for Ether by the end of 2026 is $5,000, which is ~2.6x up from current levels.”
We find out by Dec 31, 2026. 100 days to go · on the record 31 days, before anyone knew the answer
MET if ETH-USD price is at or above 5,000 at any point, before 2026-12-31 23:59 (UTC).
Settles automatically from the locked data source — no judgment call, no human vote.
The original wording did not settle the timing on its own. The reading above was chosen at registration and locked with the claim — it was not decided after the fact.
Resolves TRUE if the price of Ether (ETH-USD) reaches or exceeds $5,000 at any point between 2026-08-04 and 2026-12-31T23:59:59 UTC, per Coinbase ETH-USD data.
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In the 'Bitcoin Crack-Up Boom' section of his essay 'Situationship', laying out his Ether trade thesis based on RWA/tokenization narratives.
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