Arthur Hayes called it:
“My rough target price for Ether by the end of 2026 is $5,000, which is ~2.6x up from current levels.”
We find out by Dec 31, 2026. 132 days to go
Arthur Hayes: “My rough target price for Ether by the end of 2026 is $5,000, which is ~2.6x up from current levels.”
MET if ETH-USD price is at or above 5,000 at any point, before 2026-12-31 23:59 (UTC).
Settles automatically from the locked data source — no judgment call, no human vote.
The original wording did not settle the timing on its own. The reading above was chosen at registration and locked with the claim — it was not decided after the fact.
Test details
Resolves TRUE if the price of Ether (ETH-USD) reaches or exceeds $5,000 at any point between 2026-08-04 and 2026-12-31T23:59:59 UTC, per Coinbase ETH-USD data.
Quote verified against the source
Added by Thonest from a public source. The person quoted did not submit, approve, or endorse this record; the wording is verified against the source itself.
Read the original on Substack ↗
In the 'Bitcoin Crack-Up Boom' section of his essay 'Situationship', laying out his Ether trade thesis based on RWA/tokenization narratives.
History — append-only
Proof
2 hashes from this record to the anchored root
- 0x35e02d92a090f308c9a9a2790236e48254264bd2bbe77298f3a3142fe02928bc
- 0xc1d70fed29a7711fffb85b515e1009fee5ad0d91290b629df5914098e931e224
batch #61 manifest · 4 entries
the contract refuses any batch that doesn’t follow the previous one, and has no function to edit or delete one — including for us
0x19fe27cf…32153a on block explorer
view the canonical capture · the page as served to us, kept verbatim and covered by the evidence hash
✓ The anchored proof cannot be rewritten, and the published record is append-only by default. Everything that happened afterward is in the history above — corrections are appended, never silently edited in.
The check runs in your browser and reads the anchored root straight from a public Base node — not from Thonest. How this works.
Disputes
No disputes have been filed. If something here is wrong — a misquote, a wrong date, a misattributed source — say so and it gets answered on the record. How disputes work.
Related