Gary Marcus: “We won’t get to AGI in 2026 (or 7).”

MET if not (An AI system is publicly released or announced and is broadly recognized across reputable technical press and major AI labs as artificial general intelligence — i.e., matching or exceeding competent human performance across essentially the full range of cognitive tasks. Narrow benchmark records, marketing claims by a single vendor, and internal unreleased demos do not count.) in every period, before 2027-12-31 23:59 (America/New_York).

Settles by documented review of public evidence against these locked criteria; the reviewer is named and the reasoning published.

The original wording did not settle the timing on its own. The reading above was chosen at registration and locked with the claim — it was not decided after the fact.