Open Settles on evidencePredictionDeadline Jan 20, 2029
0 days on the record885 to go

Open until 2029-01-20 — 885 days away. Settlement rests on public evidence, gathered and checked after the deadline.

Sam: “AOC will be president in 2028.

AOC will be president in 2028.
🔒 The test — locked 2026-08-19, before the outcome was known

MET if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez wins the November 2028 United States presidential election, as established by the Electoral College result certified by Congress, and is sworn in as President of the United States. Winning a party nomination, being a candidate, or leading polling does not count; assuming the office through succession rather than the 2028 election does not count. at any point, before 2029-01-20 23:59 (America/New_York).

Settled byevidence
Window2026-08-19 2029-01-20
TimezoneAmerica/New_York
Data vintagelatest_revision
Min source tier1
Contract hash0xa9cd0f95…bd6c12

The original wording did not settle the timing on its own. The reading above was chosen at registration and locked with the claim — it was not decided after the fact.

◎ The test — locked before the outcome was known

Resolves true if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the winner of the November 2028 United States presidential election, as established by the Electoral College result certified by Congress in January 2029, and is sworn in as President of the United States. Winning a party nomination, leading polls, or becoming president by any means other than election in the 2028 cycle does not count. Resolves false otherwise.

Thonest does not settle this one automatically — there is no supported data source for it. The test is fixed all the same, so anyone can check it and nobody can change what counts.

Written here by its author

Self-recorded by @sam · Verified identity

SamThonest (self-recorded)Said Aug 19, 2026Captured Aug 19, 2026

Resolution criteria

Resolves true if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the winner of the November 2028 United States presidential election, as established by the Electoral College result certified by Congress in January 2029, and is sworn in as President of the United States. Winning a party nomination, leading polls, or becoming president by any means other than election in the 2028 cycle does not count. Resolves false otherwise.

History — append-only

2026-08-19
Recorded · Self-recorded by @sam · identity verified

Proof

Evidence hash0x60f76013…12756d
Source snapshot
Record fingerprint0x60f7601374c8da210cf7c7f33229bf27b2c24654405cd3aabcc4b4ac8f12756d
Proof path
2 hashes from this record to the anchored root
  1. 0x180a4e296d00f18f15e6c0070a10975bcc94af545f176e6498c6c0405ca5ef95
  2. 0xc6d360810b2a30ff388ce0d7e432b8d3b649f80ac0f93471346ad40ffde84c60
Merkle root0xd9186b368e67499cada8df2f6532b0e7c7cb768870040f8f83f380a28c1f307c
batch #17 manifest · 4 entries
Registry0x3d74d9e2f0f4c741fc49b34cc119b6db0cef47c0 · entry #16
the contract refuses any batch that doesn’t follow the previous one, and has no function to edit or delete one — including for us
Anchored onchainbase-mainnet · Aug 19, 2026
0x77d65e34…84c08e on block explorer
Original sourceNone — written here, not quoted from elsewhere
There is nothing external to check this against. What the anchor proves is the time it was written, which is the point of recording a claim before its outcome is known.
Third-party archiveNot applicable
An archive copies a page that already existed somewhere else.
Quote checkRecorded directly on Thonest by @sam, whose control of the account was verified.
Written by@sam (Sam)
the Thonest account that wrote this — not a claim about who controls it unless the identity level above says so
Text as submitted0xf8b8a2fc3212b6910bb00a1f1c9897c3a294deb33b29c05a5645f2376997ad02
view the raw response · exactly what the author typed, kept verbatim and covered by the evidence hash

✓ The original record is immutable. Everything that happened afterward is in the history above — nothing is ever silently edited.

Verify this record yourself

The check runs in your browser and reads the anchored root straight from a public Base node — not from Thonest. How this works.

Disputes

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