Open Settles automaticallyPredictionDeadline Dec 31, 2026
0 days on the record134 to go

Open until 2026-12-31 — 134 days away. Thonest reads the locked data source and settles this itself.

Sam: “Bitcoin will reach 200k by the end of 2026.

Bitcoin will reach 200k by the end of 2026.
🔒 The test — locked 2026-08-19, before the outcome was known

MET if BTC-USD price is at or above 200,000 at any point, before 2026-12-31 23:59 (America/New_York).

Settled byautomatic
Window2026-08-19 2026-12-31
TimezoneAmerica/New_York
Data vintagelatest_revision
Min source tier2
Contract hash0x8f118dd0…a4dddf

Written here by its author

Self-recorded by @sam · Verified identity

SamThonest (self-recorded)Said Aug 19, 2026Captured Aug 19, 2026

Resolution criteria

Resolves true if the Coinbase BTC-USD spot price trades at or above 200,000 USD at any point between 2026-08-19 and 2026-12-31 23:59:59 America/New_York inclusive. Otherwise false.

History — append-only

2026-08-19
Recorded · Self-recorded by @sam · identity verified

Proof

Evidence hash0x680c4ac6…f1596d
Source snapshot
Record fingerprint0x680c4ac6100a60d7f6a5a87dd624cba6e654e847988efd99a4fb561927f1596d
Proof path
2 hashes from this record to the anchored root
  1. 0x89ecc3006cd35066c656bd09f34871f6d54c467434b90bb03bb7315e9d78e4f0
  2. 0x14df5c23709b1334a136353171d00694a270b7c500c397f891ee1c56a85b8d39
Merkle root0x17962a925cc9c3e791389f375a42f0406e25919ca42e0234b49fe028c878ba0f
batch #3 manifest · 4 entries
Registry0x3d74d9e2f0f4c741fc49b34cc119b6db0cef47c0 · entry #2
the contract refuses any batch that doesn’t follow the previous one, and has no function to edit or delete one — including for us
Anchored onchainbase-mainnet · Aug 19, 2026
0x8a6b0141…e0d341 on block explorer
Original sourceNone — written here, not quoted from elsewhere
There is nothing external to check this against. What the anchor proves is the time it was written, which is the point of recording a claim before its outcome is known.
Third-party archiveNot applicable
An archive copies a page that already existed somewhere else.
Quote checkRecorded directly on Thonest by @sam, whose control of the account was verified.
Written by@sam (Sam)
the Thonest account that wrote this — not a claim about who controls it unless the identity level above says so
Text as submitted0xc93ecbeae69c5584eac154507003dbad4c6a1c945b416c26472574aea2d5067b
view the raw response · exactly what the author typed, kept verbatim and covered by the evidence hash

✓ The original record is immutable. Everything that happened afterward is in the history above — nothing is ever silently edited.

Verify this record yourself

The check runs in your browser and reads the anchored root straight from a public Base node — not from Thonest. How this works.

Disputes

No disputes have been filed. If something here is wrong — a misquote, a wrong date, a misattributed source — say so and it gets answered on the record. How disputes work.