What an accuracy score actually measures
Change which claims are eligible and the same forecaster moves twenty points. Nobody has to lie for that to happen.
August 29, 2026 · figures counted October 4, 2026
An accuracy score does not mostly measure accuracy. It mostly measures which claims were counted.
Discard the unresolvable ones and you have already chosen the answer: here that would throw out 63 of 126 records before any scoring began.
Three ways a score goes wrong
Selection. Count only the claims that settled and you count only the specific ones, which are usually the safe ones.
Difficulty. Ten easy calls and one hard one average into a number that describes neither. And timing — a claim resolved in a month and one resolved after five years count the same, though only one of them was a risk.
Why there is no score here
There is no honesty rating on Thonest and no ranking of anyone. 39 people have records on this site and not one of them carries a number. What a reader gets instead is every claim, its test, and what happened — longer to read, and harder to argue with.
Every claim here is checkable.
The exact words, the source and its date, the test fixed before the outcome, and what happened when it landed.