How a track record lies without a single false statement
Selection is the whole trick. You never have to fabricate anything — you just have to pick.
August 29, 2026 · figures counted October 4, 2026
A track record can be entirely true and still mislead, without one false statement in it. It only has to be the subset that was kept.
Omission is the method
Nobody has to lie. The predictions that landed get repeated; the ones that did not are simply never mentioned again, and after a few years the remembered version is a run of hits. Almost everyone does this, mostly without noticing.
The defence is not fact-checking but completeness: 126 records across 39 people, and a claim stays on a person's page whether it was met, missed, or never settled at all.
What that looks like here
Most of this archive is unresolved — 118 of 126 records are still open. A page showing eight settled calls would read far better. It would also be the exact thing this exists to prevent.
Every claim here is checkable.
The exact words, the source and its date, the test fixed before the outcome, and what happened when it landed.