The public record

The goalposts don’t move.

When someone makes a call with a date on it, we lock the test that settles it — before anyone knows the answer — and publish what happened. When there is no test to lock, the words still go on the record, dated and sourced.

Browse the recordPut something on the record

No account needed to read or verify anything.

Takes disappear. This doesn’t.

Posts get deleted. Podcasts scroll away. The calls that aged badly quietly stop being mentioned, and the ones that landed get repeated forever. Anyone can put a public call on the record here — the exact words, the original source, and the date it was said.

Said on XPaste the post. We fetch it and confirm the account.
Said on a podcast or videoPaste the link. We transcribe it and confirm the words at the moment they were said.
Written in an articlePaste the URL. Only their own words count — not a reporter’s summary of them.

How it works

  1. Someone makes a call in public. A price target, a timeline, a prediction about how things go. Anyone can put it on the record here by pasting the link.
  2. We check it against the source. The wording has to appear in what the platform itself returns, attributed to the person it’s credited to. If a claim can be tested, we lock the test that settles it and the date it settles.
  3. It stays there. Testable claims settle automatically when the condition becomes conclusive. Everything else is preserved with its date and source, so it can’t be quietly walked back.

What gets checked, and how to verify it yourself →

Why this is worth more than a screenshot

A screenshot proves nothing — anyone can fake one, and the post behind it can be edited or deleted. Every record here carries four things instead, each checkable by someone who thinks we’re lying.

1 · The words are checked against the sourceWe never take a submitter’s word for a quote. For posts and articles the platform is asked directly and the wording must appear in its own response. For video and podcasts the source is transcribed and the words confirmed at the moment they were said, by the speaker who said them.
2 · An independent copyWe ask the Internet Archive to save the page at capture time, on a server we don’t control. Every record reports the same four verification layers and states plainly when a layer is unavailable.
3 · Two dates, never mixed upWhen they said it, and when Thonest registered it. Only a record registered before the outcome was known can claim it was locked in advance — anything added afterwards says so plainly.
4 · Tamper-evident by designThe anchored cryptographic proof cannot be rewritten, and published records are append-only by default — corrections are appended in the open, never silently edited in. Anyone can check whether a record changed after it was published.

How the proof works, and how to check it yourself →

What we deliberately don’t claim: none of this proves a statement is true. Provenance shows where it came from; anchoring shows it hasn’t changed. Anyone who tells you a blockchain makes something true is selling you something. The full argument, including what could still go wrong →

Looking for someone in particular?

Everyone on the record · Add something they said

The registry is temporarily unreachable, so nothing is listed here. Records already anchored remain committed on-chain and independently checkable.