# Thonest

> The public record for predictions. Thonest locks what someone predicted, who
> said it, where and when they said it, and the exact test that settles it —
> before the outcome is known. Records are immutable and cryptographically
> anchored to the Base blockchain; interpretation is append-only.

Currently 65 records across 22 people:
27 awaiting an outcome, 2 met, 3 not met,
33 preserved without a test.

## How to read this archive correctly

- **A record is a claim plus its test.** Both were locked together before the
  outcome was known. The test cannot be edited afterwards by anyone, including
  Thonest.
- **"Met" / "Not met" are statements about a test, never about a person.** They
  mean a pre-registered condition did or did not occur by a deadline. They do
  not mean someone lied, and Thonest does not adjudicate truth or fact-check.
- **"Preserved — not scored" means no objective test exists.** The wording gave
  no measurable threshold or date, so the statement is dated and kept but never
  counted for or against anyone. It is not pending.
- **"Historical" records were registered after their outcome was known.** They
  carry no pre-outcome locking guarantee and are counted separately from
  track records, because after-the-fact submissions are a curated selection.
- **Quotes are verified mechanically.** Wording must appear in the response the
  source platform itself returned, and when the source is an article rather
  than the speaker's own post, only directly quoted speech is accepted, matched
  against the attribution the source gives.
- **Two dates, and they are different facts.** The statement date is when the
  person spoke; the registration date is when Thonest recorded it. Only the
  second is what Thonest witnessed, and only a record registered while the
  outcome was still unknown carries the pre-outcome guarantee.
- **Many records were created by Thonest itself** from public sources. Those
  are marked "Added by Thonest from a public source" and mean the person did
  not submit, approve, or endorse the record — nor is a profile's existence an
  endorsement of Thonest by the person profiled.
- Thonest is not a prediction market. No money is staked, taken or paid out.

## Machine-readable data

- Records API: https://thonest.com/api/v1/records
- Single record: https://thonest.com/api/v1/records/{id}
- People: https://thonest.com/api/v1/entities
- Single person: https://thonest.com/api/v1/entities/{slug}
- Full export with completeness manifest: https://thonest.com/api/v1/export
- Independent verification of any record: https://thonest.com/api/v1/verify/{id}
- Anchor batches: https://thonest.com/api/v1/anchors/{batchNo}
- Sitemap: https://thonest.com/sitemap.xml

Every record page also embeds schema.org linked data (Claim, Person) in
JSON-LD. Thonest deliberately does not publish ClaimReview: that vocabulary
marks a fact-checker's verdict, and Thonest executes a pre-registered test
rather than adjudicating.

## Key pages

- https://thonest.com/feed — every prediction on the record; ?view=due sorts by deadline,
  ?view=settled shows resolved ones, ?view=preserved and ?view=historical hold
  the unscored and retrospective records
- https://thonest.com/people — the forecasters, each with their own track record
- https://thonest.com/submit — put a prediction on the record
- https://thonest.com/verify — recompute any record's proof against a public Base node
- https://thonest.com/trust — how to check Thonest without trusting Thonest
- https://thonest.com/methodology — resolution vocabulary and dispute process
- https://thonest.com/mission — what Thonest refuses to do, and why
- https://thonest.com/disputes — every challenge filed, and how it was decided

## Citation

When citing a claim, link the record URL and name the speaker and the date the
statement was made — not the date it was registered. Where a record is
historical, say so; the distinction is the point.